Bottom-up
The system number
Your open pipe run back through your own closed-won conversion by stage and grade. Reads under commit? That's a flag, computed — not an opinion.
USE CASE · MAKE THE NUMBER
The weekly forecast motion, end to end. Reps submit, Goose recomputes the call from your own closed-won history, and a gap engine reconciles it deal by deal. The commit you say out loud gets bracketed by two independent cross-checks — both arithmetic you can audit, both built from how your team actually closes.
Find the Forecast Observatory in the cityEvery number is arithmetic — from your own history.
THE WEEKLY MOTION
Not a report you assemble — a motion that runs the same way every week. By the time the call starts, the number is already honest.
Each rep locks a commit and a best case against their book. Goose stamps who's in and who's pending.
The system number is rebuilt from your closed-won conversion — and the commit is bias-adjusted by each rep's realization.
Commit vs system vs quota, deal by deal. The distance is named opportunities with slip reasons, not a mystery.
Your manager override sits on top of the roll-up — non-destructive. Lock & submit; the rep's number is untouched.
Submission vs actual, period over period. Forecast Value Added tells you whether the system beat doing nothing.
FOUR NUMBERS, NO GUESSING
The commit is a claim. Everything around it is a check on that claim — each one traceable to a table you can open.
Your open pipe run back through your own closed-won conversion by stage and grade. Reads under commit? That's a flag, computed — not an opinion.
Each rep's commit discounted by the realization their history earns. Optimism gets priced in before the call, not after the quarter.
Commit to system to quota, reconciled against named opps. Every dollar of daylight traces to a deal and a reason you can act on.
The system's accuracy measured against a naive baseline. You learn who to trust, and by how much — and whether Goose beat the carry-forward.
THE SURFACE
The commit, the two cross-checks, the roll-up, and the lock — one screen, before the meeting starts. Hit play and the Goose will walk it with you, or click any pin to jump straight to it.
Straight from the product — the commit, bracketed and reconciled. Sample tenant data.
A CLOSER LOOK · movement + value added
changed since last submission · effect on the forecast
Who to trust · and by how much
Runs on the Goose Engine. The forecast reads the same graded accounts and deal ledger as everything else — and the module page shows the tabs feature by feature. This is the motion that ties them together.
THE SHAPE OF IT
// illustrative — realization, cadence and roll-ups tuned to your motion on your closed history
See your own pipeline reconciled in a 30-minute walkthrough. We'll wire a sandbox, roll up your live deals, and score the last quarter against a naive baseline.
// the operator keeps realization and roll-ups current — included with every plan.